MACD OsMSA 背離反轉外匯交易策略

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MACD OsMSA Divergence Reversal Forex Trading Strategy

市場上有很多情況,你會觀察到價格上下波動,但有一個明確的方向. Price could be making swing highs and swing lows, yet these swing points are constantly getting higher. This would be considered as a bullish trending market. 然後, suddenly price creates a strong spike up making an irregularly high swing point. You get excited thinking that the market is about to move even higher. Suddenly, after one last smaller push, price reverses strongly and the trend reverses.

另一方面, price could be constantly making new swing points that are constantly dropping. You identify a downtrend and have all the intention to trade only to the downside. Price drops extremely low, so you enter a trade thinking it will drop further. 然後, price consolidates and then the downtrend reverses.

Looking at hindsight, you would notice a common theme, a trend reversal after a strong spike.

Traders salivate at the though being able to trade from the start of a new trend and exit as the trend ends. So much money is to be made in these types of market. 然而, this type of trading is quite difficult to execute. Many traders compare it to catching a knife.

然而, there are ways to anticipate these types of market. These are called regular divergences. These are conditions wherein the swing points on the price chart and the swing points on an oscillating indicator diverge in strength. Due to the limited range of an oscillating indicator, the strong spikes would often be plotted at an extreme level. Another swing point on the price chart would create a corresponding swing point on the oscillating indicator, yet it would diverge in height or depth, often lower than the previous peak or higher than the previous trough. This is characteristically a regular divergence.

You would observe how a regular divergence would look like on the chart below.

divergence chart

MACD OsMA

MACD refers to Moving Average Convergence and Divergence, while OsMA stands for Oscillator of Moving Averages.

MACD OsMA is an oscillating indicator which is a combination of the Moving Average Convergence and Divergence and the Oscillator of Moving Averages.

Like the regular MACD, it also has a MACD line and a signal line. It also has histogram bars representing the difference between the two lines. Trade signals are generated whenever the two lines crossover.

MACD 點

MACD Dot is a custom indicator which is based on the classic MACD.

It creates entry signals based on the crossing over of a standard MACD. During a bullish trend reversal, this indicator would plot a blue dot below the candle. 另一方面, it plots a red dot on a candle whenever it detects a bearish reversal.

交易策略

This strategy revolves around identifying divergences using the two indicators above.

Because the two indicators are based on the classic MACD, these two indicators work synergistically, allowing traders to easily identify swing points.

We should then observe both the price chart and the MACD OsMA window, looking for regular divergences.

Trades are taken as soon as we could clearly observe a regular divergence indicating a probable steep trend reversal.

指標:

  • 麥克德點 (默認設置)
  • MACD_OsMA (默認設置)

首選時間範圍: 1-小時, 4-小時和每日圖表

貨幣對: 主要和次要對

交易時段: 東京, 倫敦和紐約會議

購買交易設置

進入

  • Price should be consistently creating lower lows and highs indicating a downtrend.
  • Price should drop steeply creating a deep swing low.
  • The next swing low should be less steep than the drop.
  • A bullish regular divergence should be clearly observed on the price chart.
  • The MACD Dot indicator should plot a blue dot below price corresponding with the regular bullish divergence.
  • 對上述條件的確認輸入買入指令.

止損

  • 在入場蠟燭下方的分形上設置止損.

退出

  • Close the trade as soon as the MACD Dot indicator plots a red dot.

MACD OsMSA 背離反轉外匯交易策略

MACD OsMSA 背離反轉外匯交易策略 2

銷售交易設置

進入

  • Price should be consistently creating higher highs and lows indicating an uptrend.
  • Price should spike aggressively creating a high swing high.
  • The next swing high should be smaller than the spike.
  • A bearish regular divergence should be clearly observed on the price chart.
  • The MACD Dot indicator should plot a red dot above price corresponding with the regular bearish divergence.
  • 對上述條件的確認輸入賣單.

止損

  • Set the stop los on the fractal above the entry candle.

退出

  • Close the trade as soon as the MACD Dot indicator plots a blue dot.

MACD OsMSA 背離反轉外匯交易策略 3

MACD OsMSA 背離反轉外匯交易策略 4

結論

There are very few traders who could successfully trade trend reversal coming from the peak or trough. This is a testament to the level of difficulty trend reversals have.

Traders who employ divergence trading strategies such as this have a better chance at capturing such high profit trades. Many traders who have mastered this craft could profit consistently from the market. Some even have a win rate of around 60% 自 70%. Others claim they seldom have a loosing streak greater than three trades. This just shows that even a difficult trade setup such as a trend reversal could still be made accurate when used with the right strategy.


外匯交易策略安裝說明

MACD OsMSA Divergence Reversal Forex Trading Strategy is a combination of Metatrader 4 (MT4) 指標(s) 和範本.

此外匯策略的本質是轉換累積的歷史數據和交易信號.

MACD OsMSA Divergence Reversal Forex Trading Strategy provides an opportunity to detect various peculiarities and patterns in price dynamics which are invisible to the naked eye.

基於此資訊, 交易者可以假設價格進一步變動, 並相應地調整此策略.

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How to install MACD OsMSA Divergence Reversal Forex Trading Strategy?

  • Download MACD OsMSA Divergence Reversal Forex Trading Strategy.zip
  • *將 mq4 和 ex4 檔案複製到您的 Metatrader 目錄 / 專家 / 指標 /
  • 複製 tpl 檔案 (範本) 到您的元交易者目錄 / 範本 /
  • 啟動或重新啟動 Metatrader 用戶端
  • 選擇要測試外匯策略的圖表和時間範圍
  • 右鍵單擊您的交易圖表並懸停在 “範本”
  • Move right to select MACD OsMSA Divergence Reversal Forex Trading Strategy
  • You will see MACD OsMSA Divergence Reversal Forex Trading Strategy is available on your Chart

*注意: 並非所有外匯策略都配有 mq4/ex4 檔. 某些範本已與 MetaTrader 平臺的 MT4 指標整合.

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