I-GBP/USD forex yokuhweba, okubizwa nge-'Pound Dollar,' kukalwa ekuhwebeni kwe-forex njengamapheya emali ewuketshezi kakhulu. Umbhangqwana wokuhweba uhlelwe ukuthi ukhuphuke ngosuku lokuhweba ngokusebenzisa ukusabalala okuhlanganisiwe, ivolumu, nokuguquguquka. Lesi sihloko sihlukanisa konke odinga ukukwazi mayelana ne-GBP/USD pair, kusukela emlandweni wayo kuze kufike ezinzuzweni zayo kanye nezingozi. Uzofunda futhi namasu amaningi okuhweba ka-2019.
Iyini i-GBP/USD?
Ngaphambi kokuthi siqhubekele ezihlokweni eziyinhloko, sisho ukuthini isifinyezo se-GBP/USD? I-GBP/USD iyipheya yemali etshela ukuthi mangaki amadola ase-US adingekayo ukuze kuthengwe ipondo elilodwa laseBrithani.
Ngokwesibuyekezo sakamuva, i-GBP/USD pair iphakathi kwamapheya emali ahweba kakhulu emhlabeni jikelele. Ukungenelela kweBhange lase-England kanye ne-Federal Reserve kuthinta inani lezinhlobo zemali ngenxa yegebe lesilinganiso senzalo.
Izizathu Zokuhweba Nge-GBP/USD
Kunezizathu eziningi zokuthi kungani izinkulungwane zabantu zikhethe lokhu kubhanqwa kohlobo lwemali ethile, njenge:
- Ukutholakala kwezinsizakusebenza - Ukwenza ukuhlaziya kwezobuchwepheshe kulula namuhla ngokuchofoza okumbalwa nje. Umlando wegrafu, amashadi esikhathi eside, idatha yomzuzu ongu-1, izinsiza zezindaba, nezinkundla zokuhweba ezinye zezinsiza ezitholakalayo ezisetshenziselwa izibikezelo zamanje nezesikhathi eside.
- I-volatility - Amanani amanani ayahluka ngamapheya emali. I-GBP/USD ivamise ukuba nebanga lentengo elibanzi kakhulu kunamanye amapheya amakhulu ngenxa yokuguquguquka. Lokhu kubangela izingcaphuno ezisabalala kakhulu ezivela kubadayisi.
- Izimoto Zokuhweba Ezihlukahlukene - Ngenxa yokuthi i-GBP/USD yaba yipheya lesithathu lemali ethengiswa kakhulu, abadayisi banelungelo lohlu lwezimoto zokuhweba namathuba.
- Ukuphepha Okuhlobene – I-GBP/USD yiminotho emibili yesimanje kakhulu ekuhwebeni kwanamuhla. Inikeza izinsiza eziningi ekutholeni ulwazi lwamanani nedatha. Ivolumu nokuntengantenga kusebenza ndawonye ekuguquleni inzuzo, kanti cishe u-35% wohwebo lwenani elikhulu ezimakethe ze-FX ludlula eLondon.
- I-Maneuverability - Ukuhweba ngosuku i-GBP/USD ilungele ukuhweba okuphuma phambili. Kungenxa yenzuzo evela enanini elikhulu lamapayipi phakathi nokunyakaza okukodwa, ngokungafani namanye amapheya amakhulu. Ubungozi bungenzeka, ngakho-ke kuyadingeka ukusebenzisa ukulahleka kokuyeka.
Izingozi Nezingqinamba Ze-GBP/USD
Njengoba kunikezwe inani lezizathu zokukhetha ipheya yemali ye-GBP/USD, nokho, kunezingozi ezithile okufanele uziqaphele. Nazi izithiyo ekuhwebeni nge-GBP/USD:
- Ukungacaci - Abaqalayo ekuhwebeni bavame ukuba yizisulu zezimpawu ezidukisayo. Izimpawu ezingamanga nokugqashuka okungamanga kuyimiphumela yokungabikezeli kwe-GBP/USD. Ngalokho, abanye baphikisa ngokuthi abaqalayo bangcono ekugxileni kwamanye amapheya emali.
- 2. Ukunyakaza Okusheshayo - Ukuhweba okusheshayo kuhle kakhulu kubathengi abanqumayo, kepha ukuhweba okusheshayo kuholela ekulahlekelweni yimali ngokushesha. Ukuzithiba ekusebenziseni amasu kubungozi obusebenzayo kanye nokuphathwa kwemali kungaxazulula inkinga.
- Ukuncintisana Okuzenzakalelayo - Ama-algorithms okuhweba ahlakaniphile akhula ngenani unyaka nonyaka, okuletha inselele enkulu kubathengisi abaningi. Ukuncintisana okuzenzakalelayo kukuphusha ukuthi ube nezibikezelo ezingaphezu kweviki kanye namashadi onyaka uma kuqhathaniswa nangaphambili.
- Bika Kunzima - Izintengo zokuvala nobubanzi obumaphakathi bansuku zonke bubalulekile uma uthemba ukungena nokuphuma ezikhundleni ngokusekelwe olwazini oluqondile. Kungemibiko yezomnotho yase-UK ikhebuli evame ukuphendula, ikakhulukazi uma idatha nenqubomgomo yezimali ingahlangabezani nokulindelwe.
Ngakho-ke, uma uhlela ukutshala imali kubhangqa lwemali ye-GBP/USD, ukwazi izinhlangothi zombili zohlamvu lwemali ozifaka engcupheni kubalulekile.
Amathonya On Movement
Kunezici ezimbalwa ezithonya umuzwa wemakethe nezintengo, ezihlanganisa okulandelayo:
- Inqubomgomo Yemali - Emlandweni wamapheya amakhulu emali, i-Fed ne-BoE inethonya elikhulu emazingeni okuhweba. Ukuhambisana nezimemezelo zezomnotho nezinqumo ezinkulu kungakulethela ukuncintisana.
- Ukukhula komnotho - Ukukhula komnotho wase-US kuzokhombisa ukukhuphuka kwamadola aseMelika ngaphezu kwamaphawundi; ngokufanayo, ukwehla kwamadola kubangelwa ukukhula komnotho wase-UK. Ukwenyuka kwamapheya emali kuwumphumela wamazinga enzalo, ukukhiqiza kwabasebenzi, kanye nokukhula kokutshalwa kwezimali.
- Imicimbi Yezepolitiki - Ngokwesinqumo se-Brexit, izinqumo zezombangazwe zingathonya ukunyakaza kwebhangqa lemali. Ngokuphawulekayo, ukhetho olubalulekile lunomthelela obonakalayo emzabalazweni wokuhweba.
Ukuxhumana Kwemali
Ukuhlobana kohlobo lwemali kungase kube umushwana oye wahlangana nawo ngaphandle kokuwuqonda ngokujulile. Ake sijule ngezansi!
Ayikho into efana nebhangqa lemali elizimele. Ukuhweba ipondo laseBrithani ngokumelene ne-Yen yaseJapane kuhilela okuphuma kokunye ku-GBP/USD kanye namapheya emali e-USD/JPY. Ngamanye amazwi, amapheya emali afana ne-GBP/JPY kufanele ahlotshaniswe namanye amapheya emali.
Ukubalwa
Kuyibanga ukusuka ku -1 kuye ku +1. Ezinye zihamba zibheke kolunye uhlangothi kanti ezinye zihamba ngokuhambisana. Ukuhlobana akunangqondo kububanzi obuziro. Ukuba nombono wakho kungaba inzuzo yakho.
Sebenzisa isipredishithi se-Excel ukuze ubale ukuhlobana kwemali ngokushesha ngokusebenzisa umsebenzi wokuhlanganisa (=CORREL). Iletha imiphumela ephumelelayo kancane.
Faka yonke idatha edingekayo kumakholomu bese uqhubeka nokuthola inani lokugcina lokuhlobana phakathi kwamapheya emali.
Khumbula ukuthi ukuhambisana kungashintsha ngokuhamba kwesikhathi ngenxa yokukhula komnotho, kanye nenqubomgomo yezimali kanye nemicimbi yezepolitiki.
Isu Lokuhweba Ngosuku Le-GBP/USD
Noma yiluphi uhlelo lokuhweba oluvela kuma-pivots nokuhlaziywa kwamasonto onke, noma okwenziwayo okwedlule ngesilinganiso seminyaka emi-5 kuzosetshenziswa la masu alandelayo, okuhlanganisa:
uhlelo lwezikhathi
Ukuhambisana nenkundla yakho yokuhweba ekuthengeni nasekudayiseni kungenziwa usuku lonke njengoba imakethe ye-forex eningi ivulekile amahora angama-24 ngosuku. Kuholela emibonweni eyiphutha evamile ngosuku lokuhweba i-GBP/USD.
Ukuguquguquka okwanele kanye nevolumu ekukhiqizeni amaholo ngezindleko zokusabalalisa noma ikhomishini kungenye yezindlela zokuthi abahwebi abaphumelelayo bathole ukuthuthuka. Ukusabalala kuba banzi futhi kube mncane ngesikhathi esithulile nesimatasa, ngokulandelana.
Isikhathi esingcono kakhulu sokuhweba nge-GBP/USD currency pair kulapho zombili izimakethe zase-UK nase-US zivuliwe. Kuphakathi kuka-08:00 no-10:00 GMT kanye no-12:00 no-15:00 GMT. Ngalezi zikhathi, uzohlangana nezinyathelo eziphambili zansuku zonke, futhi ukusabalala akuthinti kakhulu inzuzo.
Ukuze uveze amandla amakhulu okwenza inzuzo, khetha ukuhweba ngezikhathi zokusebenza kakhulu kanjalo. Indlela yokuhlonza amazinga okusekela nawokumelana kanye namasignali ayinandaba nhlobo.
I-GBP yamahora angu-4/USD
Izikhathi ezimbili zihilelekile ekwenzeni izinqumo. Ukukhomba ithrendi eyinhloko kudinga ukusetshenziswa kwesikhathi sosuku. Ngenkathi ufaka ukuhweba kwakho, ungabuka isikhathi esibekelwe amahora angu-4.
Ungasebenzisa izinkomba ezimbili ze-forex. Kufaka phakathi inkomba ye-stochastic ehamba kancane kanye ne-exponential moving average (EMA) ekusetshenzisweni kwesu elishiwo, kokubili emithethweni yokuthenga nokudayisa.
Isu le-GBP/USD lamahora angu-4 lizuzisa inombolo yamapayipi uma ithrendi yamanje iqinile. Futhi, ukungena enkambisweni noma ngemva kwe-crossover ye-EMA kuyinzuzo kunokuba ukwenze phakathi.
Ukuhweba Breakouts
Amathuba aza ngendlela yakho uma ukhetha ukuhwebelana ngamapheya emali e-GBP/USD. Kufanele kube nezilinganiso eziqinile zomvuzo wengcuphe ongu-1:4, njengokubeka engcupheni amapayipi angu-25 ukuze uhlose amapayipi angu-100. Ungafaki engcupheni ngaphezu kwe-1-2% yemali yakho ngokuhweba ngakunye ukuze uzivikele ekulahlekelweni futhi ubhekane nolunye usuku lwe-forex.
Izibikezelo
Izibikezelo zesikhathi eside nezibikezelo zezomnotho zikusiza ukuthi uthole amasu angenzeka emakethe ye-forex. Izinkampani eziningi ezihweba nge-forex zishintshana ngemali ngokusekelwe ekubikezelweni okufanayo kokunyakaza kwentengo. Kuholela ekuzigcwaliseni izibikezelo zohwebo okungenzeka ukuthi zibanjwe noma ziphushwa.
Njengakuqala, ukubeka ithemba elingaka kochwepheshe bezomnotho kuyingozi enkulu, ikakhulukazi uma izibikezelo ezicatshangelwayo zingarekhodwa kahle futhi zihlolwe.
Izindaba Zokuhweba
Ukungabi nantshisekelo ekuhwebeni kosuku nge-GBP/USD ngezikhathi ezimisiwe, amashadi, nezibikezelo zobuchwepheshe kunenye indlela. Ungakhetha ukuhweba ngezindaba zokuhweba ezibuyekeziwe. Ihlanganisa zonke izici ezinethonya ku-GBP/USD, futhi kufanele ushune.
Imibiko mayelana nokusetshenziswa kwezimali kwe-UK, ukukhula kokukhiqiza, izinga lokungasebenzi, kanye nomuzwa wabathengi yizibonelo zezindaba zokuhweba.
Nazi ezinye izibuyekezo zezindaba ze-forex ezibukhoma ezibonisa amanani e-GBP/USD, izibikezelo, nokuphawula ongawethemba:
Kuwo wonke amasu angaphambili, ukuthola izilinganiso zakamuva kuzokubeka endaweni ephakeme. Imithombo yezindaba eshiwo inikezela ngamasevisi amahle kakhulu ukuze uzuze.
Umlando
Izinsuku Zokuqala Ze-GBP/USD
Umqondo we-GBP/USD waqala ukuba khona ngeminyaka yawo-1970, lapho izinga le forex laliboshelwe enanini legolide. Lo mbono uvela eNgqungqutheleni yaseBretton Woods phakathi no-1944, eqala ukusebenza ku-GBP/USD cishe amashumi amathathu eminyaka.
Njengoba iminyaka idlula, i-GBP/USD yathuthukisa ubudlelwano obushukumisayo obuholela ekunyakazeni kwamanani amakhulu phakathi kokubhanqwa. Lezi zinguquko zenzeke ngenxa yezenzakalo ezimbalwa ezavela ngo-1985. Phakathi naleyo minyaka, izinga lokushintshanisa eliphansi kakhulu le-GBP/USD lacwila lisuka ku-2.44 laya ku-1.05.
Amazinga okuhwebelana athintwa impumelelo eBrithani. Futhi, ukushiyeka kwe-US kuyo yonke le minyaka kwaze kwaba yilapho umnotho wase-US ukhula futhi.
1990's Ukungenelela
Ekuqaleni kwawo-1990, kwangena esinye isikhathi somlando sobudlelwano be-GBP/USD. Kulapho iBhange LaseNgilandi (BoE) lizame ukulondoloza inani lepondo liqhathaniswa ne-German Deutschmark. Ngenkathi empeleni, i-UK yayingaphansi kokwehla komnotho kanye nezinga lenzalo elikhuphukayo ngalezo zikhathi.
Uhlelo aluzange lusebenze, futhi ngosuku olulodwa nje, iphawundi lehla uma liqhathaniswa nedola elilinganiselwa ku-25% yenani.
Lawa maqiniso omlando nedatha kungaba nomthelela ekubikezelweni kwezibikezelo nge-GBP/USD.
2007 Inkinga
Ngaphambi kokuthi kube nokudangala komhlaba ngo-2008-2009, izikhungo zezimali ezinkulu zase-US bezisenkingeni onyakeni owandulele. Imithelela yomhlaba wonke ayizange iqondwe ngokucacile, okwenza i-GBP ikhuphuke uma iqhathaniswa nedola laseMelika. Umnotho wase-US ugcina uhluleka ngo-2007. Izinga le-GBP/USD lime ku-2.1163
Ngemva konyaka, izinguquko ezibalulekile zenzeka njengoba i-BoE ibona ngokugcwele ubukhulu bomonakalo. I-BoE inciphisa amanani ebhange, okubonisa imiphumela yenqubomgomo yezimali kubhangqa lwemali. Ivumela izibikezelo ezinembe kakhudlwana ezenzakalweni zesikhathi esizayo.
I-Brexit
Isinqumo se-Brexit sango-2016 senza inani lepondo licwile uma liqhathaniswa nedola laseMelika nezinye zezimali. Ifinyelela ekuwa kwe-16% ngo-Okthoba 2016, kodwa iphawundi lizinza maphakathi no-2017.
Ukwazi izenzakalo ezithonya ukuhweba, noma yikuphi okusekelwe, kuzokwenza umqondo esikhathini esizayo. Futhi, umongo wamazinga okuhweba bukhoma uzoba nomthelela wesikhathi eside ezinqumweni zokuhweba zesikhathi esizayo.
Indima Yephawundi YaseBrithani Enkulu
I-UK iyisifunda esincane kodwa inomnotho omkhulu emhlabeni. Izimakethe zezimali zamazwe ngamazwe azipheli ngaphandle kokuhweba kwe-forex yaseLondon. Upondo waseBrithani uyimali egciniwe yomhlaba engagunyaziwe.
Izimpi zomhlaba zaletha ukwehla okulinganiselwe e-UK, kuyilapho i-US yazuza amandla amakhulu kwezomnotho. Umnotho wase-UK kancane kancane uzinza ngemithetho kahulumeni kanye nezimakethe zezabasebenzi ezinemikhawulo. I-UK nayo iseduze neNorway, ekhiqiza uwoyela negesi omkhulu kakhulu.
Idlulisa inala yamathuba okuhweba ngaphakathi kwendawo yokuhweba enokuncintisana kakhulu futhi eguquguqukayo. Ngakho-ke, ukutshala imali kwe-GBP/USD kuyinto okufanele yenziwe.
Indima Yedola laseMelika
Ukuqonda izindima ezibalulekile ezidlalwa idola laseMelika yingxenye ewinayo yokuhweba kwezomnotho. Nazi izinhlamvu eziphawulekayo zedola laseMelika kulwazi lwakho lokuhweba:
- Idola laseMelika iwuhlobo lwemali ebekiwe emhlabeni ekuxazululeni izinkokhelo zamazwe ngamazwe.
- I-US iza ngemuva kweChina njengezwe elihweba kakhulu emhlabeni.
- Amanani ezinto ezithengiswayo njengegolide avamise ukusethwa ngamadola ase-US.
- Okwenziwa yi-OPEC ngamadola aseMelika.
- I-US idlala indima enkulu kwezobuchwepheshe, i-aerospace, ukwakhiwa, uphethiloli, neminye imishini eminingi.
- Idola laseMelika lidume njengebhangqa lemali ephambili.
Umnotho wase-US uthonywa izinkomba eziningi zomnotho ukuze ubikezele izinkomba ozoya kuzo. Nazi ezinye izinkomba zezomnotho okufanele uzicabangele:
- Inkomba Yamanani Abathengi (CPI)
- I-Index Price Producer (PPI)
- Sales nokudayisa
- Ukukhokha okungekho epulazini
- Federal Reserve Amaminithi
- ibhalansi Trade
IZwi Final
Njengoba izinhlobo ezimbili zemali ezihweba kakhulu emhlabeni ziza ngambili, abadayisi bansuku zonke bathanda i-GBP/USD amathuba anikezwayo. Abathengisi abaningi abafisa ukuthola inzuzo njengoba bethola umphetho endaweni yokuhweba. Amasignali namathrendi asiza abahwebi ukuthi babone izibikezelo zezezimali ezithembisa kakhulu. Bheka isu lesikhathi ngoba lisho okuningi ukusebenzisa ukuhweba kwakho.
Qhubeka ulwela naphezu kwazo zonke izingozi endleleni. Abadayisi be-forex abaphumelelayo njengoMicheal Marcus noPaul Tudor Jones nabo bathathe isinyathelo sokuqala njengoba unjalo manje.
