There are profitable traders and then there are traders who just seem to always get it right. It seems that whenever they open a trade price would always be going to the direction of their trade, or does it? If you would closely examine these traders’ trades you would notice that whenever a trade does not go their direction, they seem to be just holding on to the trade until price goes their direction. It seems that they are confident that price would sooner or later head to the direction of their trade. Why is it that way? This is because when they first opened the trade, they know that they are trading a confluence of trends, isikhathi esifushane, mid-term and long-term. Ngakho-ke, whenever their short-term trades fail, they know that the long-term trend is still good and thus price would still be going back to the direction of their trade.
The Directional Tenkan Cross Forex Trading Strategy is not the type of strategy that advocates holding on to a trade too long. Kunalokho, we will be banking on the confluence of the short-term, mid-term and long-term trend to take trades that have a very high probability of hitting our target prices. This allows us to catch trades that have high probabilities of trending strongly in our favor.
- 1 Tenkan-Sen Line
- 2 Moving Okumaphakathi
- 3 Isilinganiso kokuqondisa Movement Inkomba
- 4 Isu Lokuhweba
- 5 Isiphetho
The Tenkan-Sen line is a component of the Ichimoku Cloud Indicator, which is one of the most profitable standalone technical indicators.
The Tenkan-Sen refers to the Conversion Line of the Ichimoku Cloud indicator. Kumane nje kuyisilinganiso sokuphansi okuphezulu kakhulu nokuphansi kakhulu esikhathini esithile. Iphinde imele ukuthambekela kwesikhashana phakathi kwemigqa ye-Ichimoku Cloud.
Ukuhamba okumaphakathi kungenye yamathuluzi okuhweba ezobuchwepheshe alula kakhulu kepha anamandla kakhulu atholakala kumhwebi. Lokhu kungenxa yokuthi izilinganiso ezihambayo zisetshenziselwa ukumela esinye sezici ezibaluleke kakhulu zokuziphatha kwemakethe - ukuthambekela.
Izilinganiso ezehlukene ezihambayo zimelela izitayela ezihlukile. Imfushane isikhathi esivela ngaso, kufushane igama elimelelayo. Short-term moving averages typically have a period of 5, 10, 15 futhi 20. Mid-term moving averages on the other hand are usually at 30 futhi 50 izinkathi, while long-term moving averages are typically 100 or 200-period moving averages.
There are many ways to interpret the trend using moving averages. Some would compare the location of a shorter-term moving average to a longer-term moving average. Some would look at the slope of the moving average. Probably the simplest way to observe for the trend using moving averages is by identifying the location of price action in relation to a moving average.
Isilinganiso kokuqondisa Movement Inkomba
Isilinganiso kokuqondisa Movement Inkomba (I-ADX) is one of my favorite trading indicators. It is an oscillating indicator which also determines trend direction and reversals. Noma kunjalo, unlike other oscillating and trend following indicators, the ADX is quite unique. This is because it also measures the strength of a trend.
The ADX is composed of three lines. Two of the lines are called the Directional Movement Index (I-DMI). One is positive (+I-DMI) and the other is negative (-I-DMI). These two lines determine trend direction and reversal based on how the two lines are stacked. If the positive DMI is above the negative DMI, ke imakethe ibhekwa njenge-bullish. If the two lines are stacked inversely, khona-ke imakethe ibhekwa njenge-bearish.
Bese, we have the ADX line. The ADX line is non-directional. It does not determine trend direction, however what it does is that it measures the strength of the trend. If the ADX is below 30 then the market is considered not to be trending, while if it is above 30 khona-ke imakethe ibhekwa njengomkhuba oqinile.
Leli qhinga isu le-crossover lisebenzisa i-Tenkan-Sen yenkomba ye-Ichimoku Cloud kanye nesilinganiso se-Exponential Moving Aval-32 (UMAMA). ITenkan-Sen imele ukuthambekela kwesikhashana ngenkathi i- 32 I-EMA imelela ukuthambekela kwaphakathi nonyaka. Noma kunjalo, lesi siginali se-crossover sisahlungwa ngomkhuba wesikhathi eside osetshenziswa kakhulu, Isilinganiso Esihamba Ngezikhathi Esihamba Ngezikhathi esingu-200 (UMAMA). Ukuqondanisa isikhathi esifushane, mid-term and long-term trend using this combination of average prices allows us to have trades that have higher win probabilities.
Phezu kwalokho, we would also be aligning the crossover signal and the long-term trend filter with a confluence with the DMI crossover of the ADX indicator. This improves our win rate even further.
The ADX line then serves as a confirmation as this would usually rise as the market starts to trend. Noma kunjalo, there will be trades wherein the ADX line starts in a contracting phase prior to rising. This is because of the natural cycle of the market, which is a cycle of contractions and expansions.
- Ichimoku Kinko Hyo
- I-Tenkan-sen: 9
- 32 UMAMA (igolide)
- 200 UMAMA (green)
- Isilinganiso kokuqondisa Movement Inkomba
- Isikhathi: 28
Ubude besikhathi: 4-ihora namashadi nsuku zonke
Amabili Wemali: ngazimbili ezinkulu nezincane
Isikhathi Sokuhweba: Tokyo, Amaseshini aseLondon naseNew York
Thenga ukusethwa kwezohwebo
- Intengo kufanele ibe ngaphezu kwe- 200 I-EMA ekhombisa ukuthambekela kwesikhathi eside kwe-bullish
- The +DMI line of the ADX indicator should cross above the -DMI line indicating a bullish trend reversal
- The Tenkan-sen line should cross above the 32 I-EMA ekhombisa ukubuyela emuva kwe-bullish
- Faka i-oda lokuthenga ekuhlanganeni kwale mibandela engenhla
- Setha ukulahleka kokuma ezingeni lokusekela ngezansi kwekhandlela lokungena
- Close the trade as soon as the Tekan-sen line crosses below the 32 UMAMA
- Close the trade as soon as the +DMI line crosses below the -DMI line
Thengisa ukusethwa kwezohwebo
- Intengo kufanele ibe ngaphansi kwe- 200 I-EMA ekhombisa ukuthambekela kwesikhathi eside kwe-bearish
- Ulayini we -DMI wesikhombi se-ADX kufanele weqe ngaphezu komugqa ongu- + DMI obonisa ukuguqulwa kwethrendi ye-bearish
- Ulayini weTenkan-sen kufanele weqe ngezansi kwe 32 I-EMA ekhombisa ukuguqulwa kwethrendi ye-bearish
- Faka i-oda lokuthengisa ekuhlanganeni kwale mibandela engenhla
- Setha ukulahleka kokuma ezingeni lokumelana ngaphezu kwekhandlela lokungena
- Vala ukuhweba ngokushesha nje lapho umugqa weTekan-sen uwela ngenhla kwe- 32 UMAMA
- Vala ukuhweba ngokushesha lapho umugqa we -DMI uwela ngaphansi komugqa we- + DMI
Leli qhinga isu le-crossover elinamathuba aphezulu kakhulu uma kuqhathaniswa namasu amaningi we-crossover. Lokhu kungenxa yokuqondanisa phakathi kwesikhathi esifushane, ukuthambekela kwaphakathi naphakathi nesikhathi eside, kanye nolayini be-DMI benkomba ye-ADX.
Ukube ubungayibheka ngesikhathi esibekiwe ngisho nangaphezulu, uzobona ukuthi lawa masethaphu wezohwebo empeleni abuyisela kabusha esikhathini esibekiwe esiphezulu. Abanye abathengisi bebengathengisa lawa ma-setups njengokubuyisela emuva ngesikhathi esibekiwe, kepha ukuhweba ngamasu we-crossover ngesikhathi esibekiwe kusinikeza iphuzu lokungena elinembe kakhudlwana.
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- Landa iDirectional Tenkan Cross Forex Trading Strategy.zip
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