市场趋势通常是根据持续上升或下降的摆动高点或摆动低点来识别的. Price action traders identify uptrends based on rising swing highs and downtrends based on dropping swing lows. Although this method can be very effective, newer traders may struggle to objectively identify trend direction based on swing highs and swing lows. The strategy discussed below uses an indicator which objectively identifies trend direction based higher highs and lower lows.
Aroon Indicator
The Aroon Indicator is a momentum technical indicator which was developed by Tusar Chande in 1995. This indicator was created to help traders identify trend direction and changes, as well as the corresponding strength of the trend.
Traders often identify trends based on price action forming its highs and lows. Uptrend markets are identified based on price action that is consistently creating higher swing highs and swing lows. 另一方面, downtrends are identified based on price action consistently forming lower swing lows and swing highs. The manner in which the Aroon Indicator detects trend direction is closely related to this concept.
The Aroon Indicator does not measure the distance of price vertically based on pips or points. Instead it measures the distance between the highs and lows of price horizontally based on time which is counted based on the number of bars.
The Aroon Indicator plots two lines, 哪些是 Aroon Up 和 Aroon Down 线. The Aroon Up line plots its point at 100 whenever it detects a new 25-bar high. The line then drops consistently until it detects a new high, in which case it would spike back up to 100. The line drops to zero if there is no new high detected within the 25-bar window. The same process is also applied with the Aroon Down line, but instead of plotting its line at 100 on a new high, it plots its line at 100 on a new low. 去做这个, the Aroon Indicator uses the formulas below to calculate for the points on its line.
阿隆向上= [(25 – Periods Since 25-period High) / 25] * 100
阿龙下来 = [(25 – Periods Since 25-period Low) / 25] * 100
This creates two lines which crosses over whenever the market is reversing from a scenario wherein it is consistently making new highs, to scenario wherein it is starting to make new lows or vice versa. Such crossovers can be interpreted as a trend reversal.
The indicator simplifies the process of identifying such trend reversals by shading the area between the two lines. It shades the area sky blue to indicate an uptrend, and brown to indicate a downtrend.
伊奇莫库金科孝-库莫
库莫, which means “cloud”, is a component of the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo technical indicator system. It is the component of the system which is used to detect the long-term trend direction.
The Kumo is composed of the Leading Span A (森口跨度A) 和领先的跨度B (森口跨度B) 线. The Leading Span A line is the average of the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo’s Conversion Line, which is the median of price within a 9-bar window, and Base Line, which is the median of price within a 26-bar window. 另一方面, the Leading Span B line it the median of price within 52-bar window. It uses the formulas below to plot the Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B lines.
Conversion Line = (9-高发期 + 9-期间低) / 2
Base Line = (26-高发期 + 26-期间低) / 2
Leading Span A = (转换线 + 基准线) / 2
Leading Span B = (52-高发期 + 52-期间低) / 2
The Kumo is shaded brown whenever the Leading Span A line is above the Leading Span B line, 表示上升趋势. 相反地, it is shaded thistle whenever the Leading Span A line is below the Leading Span B line.
交易策略概念
Aroon Up and Down Trend Following Forex Trading Strategy is a trend following trading strategy which uses the confluence between the long-term trend and the short-term trend to identify and detect possible high probability trend following trade setups.
The Kumo component of the strategy is used to help traders identify the long-term trend direction. This is based on the color of the shaded area between the two lines. Trade direction is isolated only in the direction of the trend as indicated by the Kumo.
Once the trade direction is confirmed, trade signals are identified whenever the Aroon Up and Aroon Down lines crossover indicating a trend reversal signal which is in confluence with the long-term trend direction as indicated by the Kumo.
购买交易设置
进入
- The Kumo should be shaded brown indicating a long-term bullish trending market.
- Open a buy order as soon as the area between the two Aroon lines are shaded sky blue indicating a bullish trend reversal.
止损
- 将停止损失设置在库莫下面.
退出
- Close the trade as soon as the area between the two Aroon lines changes to brown indicting a potential bearish reversal.
销售交易设置
进入
- The Kumo should be shaded thistle indicating a long-term bearish trending market.
- Open a sell order as soon as the area between the two Aroon lines are shaded brown indicating a bearish trend reversal.
止损
- 将停止损失设置在库莫之上.
退出
- Close the trade as soon as the area between the two Aroon lines changes to sky blue indicting a potential bullish reversal.
结论
Trend following strategies can be excellent trading opportunities because it often allows traders to earn huge profits. 然而, trend following strategies can also be a cause of confusion for some traders because it is not applicable on all market conditions. It is effective on trending markets but is also ineffective in markets that are ranging or markets with no clear trend direction.
The win probability of a trend following strategy can be improved if the trade signals are based on a confluence of the long-term and short-term trend bias. This strategy applies this method by trading only on the confluence of the Kumo and the Aroon Indicator.
外汇交易策略安装说明
Aroon Up and Down Trend Following Forex Trading Strategy for MT5 is a combination of Metatrader 5 (MT5) 指标(s) 和模板.
此外汇策略的本质是转换累积的历史数据和交易信号.
Aroon Up and Down Trend Following Forex Trading Strategy for MT5 provides an opportunity to detect various peculiarities and patterns in price dynamics which are invisible to the naked eye.
基于此信息, 交易者可以假设价格进一步变动， 并相应地调整此策略.
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How to install Aroon Up and Down Trend Following Forex Trading Strategy for MT5?
- Download Aroon Up and Down Trend Following Forex Trading Strategy for MT5.zip
- *将 mq5 和 ex5 文件复制到您的 Metatrader 目录 / 专家 / 指标 /
- 复制 tpl 文件 (模板) 到您的元交易者目录 / 模板 /
- 启动或重新启动 Metatrader 客户端
- 选择要测试外汇策略的图表和时间范围
- 右键单击您的交易图表并悬停在 “模板”
- Move right to select Aroon Up and Down Trend Following Forex Trading Strategy for MT5
- You will see Aroon Up and Down Trend Following Forex Trading Strategy for MT5 is available on your Chart
*注意: 并非所有外汇策略都配有 mq5/ex5 文件. 某些模板已与 MetaTrader 平台的 MT5 指标集成.
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