One of the reasons why many new traders find it very difficult to profit from the forex market is because they do not trade in the direction of the trend. 在某些情況下，, it is a matter of having a strategy that is not fit for trading with the trend. On many occasions, it is because of the fear of taking the trade at the end of a trend.
While it is true that traders should avoid chasing the trend, trading in the direction of the trend also implies that you would have to trade in the middle of the trend rather than at the beginning of the trend. 當然, the yields might not be as high as if the trade was taken at the beginning of the trend. 當然, there is a risk that the trend might soon reverse. 然而, trading with the trend could also mean trading with a higher probability of winning.
另一方面, anticipating trend reversals also do present huge risks. Although it is true that trades would have higher yields because the trade is taken at the beginning of the trend, catching trend reversals as price reverses could also be very difficult.
甲骨文移動
Oracle Move or 100 Pips Momentum is a custom trend following technical indicator which is based on a short-term moving average.
Most moving average lines tend to have two weaknesses. 第一, most moving average lines tend to be lagging compared to price action. Lagging indicator signals often cause traders to enter a good trade setup and exit a winning trade a bit too late. This often drastically reduces the potential profits which the trader could have earned or worse, turn a potentially winning trade into a loss. The second weakness is that many moving averages tend to be susceptible to false signals that occur during whipsaws and choppy market conditions. This causes traders to enter a trade which they should have not traded in the first place.
Oracle Move is an indicator that plots two short-term moving average lines which drastically minimizes both weaknesses. The lines that this indicator plots are very responsive to price action movements making it suitable for short-term momentum shifts, and at the same time are very smooth making it handle choppy market conditions better.
The faster moving average line is plotted as a blue line, while the slower moving average line is plotted as a red line. Trend direction is then identified based on how the two moving average lines overlap. The trend is bullish if the blue line is above the red line and bearish if the blue line is below the red line. Crossovers between the two lines can also be indicative of a potential trend reversal.
相對強弱指數
相對強弱指標 (RSI) is a classic oscillator type of technical indicator which has a variety of uses. It can be used to identify trend, 動量和超買或超賣價格條件.
The RSI is an oscillator that plots a line that oscillates between the range of 0 自 100. This line is computed based on the closing price of a recent trading period compared to its historical price movements. The resulting line is a line that somewhat mimics the movements of price action based on its swing points.
The RSI has markers at 30 和 70. These markers indicate overbought or oversold price conditions. 上面的 RSI 線 70 表明市場超買, 而下面的Rsi行 30 表示超賣情況. 相反地, momentum traders identify strong breaches beyond these levels as an indication of a strong momentum which could lead to a trend.
Some traders add markers at level 45, 50 和 55. 水平 50 marks the trend bias. An RSI line generally staying above 50 and finding support at 45 表明看漲趨勢. 另一方面, an RSI line generally staying below 50 and finding resistance at 55 表明看跌趨勢.
交易策略
Oracle Move Trend Following Forex Trading Strategy is a trend following strategy which finds agreements between the long-term trend and the short-term trend using the Oracle Move indicator, the 100-period Exponential Moving Average (均線), 和 RSI.
The long-term trend is identified based on the slope of the 100 EMA線, 價格行為相對於 100 EMA線, as well as the trend direction of price action.
The RSI line then confirms the trend based on where it is generally located in relation to the 50 marker and whether it is finding support at level 45 or resistance at level 55.
Price would generally retrace to its median. This should cause the Oracle Move line to temporarily reverse and the RSI line to temporarily retrace to the area near 50, while still finding support or resistance at level 45 或 55.
As price resumes its trend, the Oracle Move line would crossover and the RSI line would break above 55 或下降到下面 45 indicting the resumption of the trend. This confluence would be our trade setup.
指標:
- 100點動量
- 100 均線
- 相對強弱指數
首選時間範圍: 30-分鐘和1小時圖
貨幣對: 外匯專業, 未成年人和十字架
交易時段: 東京, 倫敦和紐約會議
購買交易設置
進入
- 價格動作應高於 100 EMA線.
- Price action should be trending up based on its price swings.
- 的 100 EMA線應向上傾斜.
- RSI線一般應高於 50.
- Price should retrace causing the blue Oracle Move line to temporarily cross below the red line and the RSI line to retrace towards 50 while finding support at 45.
- The blue Oracle Move line should cross above the red line.
- RSI線應突破上述 55.
- 在確認這些條件後輸入購買訂單.
止損
- 設置止損在入口蠟燭下方支撐.
退出
- 甲骨文移動指示器的藍線一越過紅線下方，就立即關閉交易.
銷售交易設置
進入
- 價格動作應低於 100 EMA線.
- Price action should be trending down based on its price swings.
- 的 100 EMA線應向下傾斜.
- RSI線一般應低於 50.
- Price should retrace causing the blue Oracle Move line to temporarily cross above the red line and the RSI line to retrace towards 50 while finding resistance at 55.
- The blue Oracle Move line should cross below the red line.
- RSI 線應降至以下 45.
- 在確認這些條件後輸入賣單.
止損
- 設置止損在入口蠟燭上方阻力.
退出
- 甲骨文移動指示器的藍線一越過紅線，就立即關閉交易.
結論
This trading strategy is a basic trend following or trend re-entry strategy which makes use of the responsive short-term signals of the Oracle Move indicator.
The Oracle Move indicator in itself is not perfect yet it provides high probability trend reversal signals which has the potential to result in a trend.
The combination of the 100 EMA line and the trend indication of the RSI line simply confirms the direction of the general trend, which in turn should leave us with high probability trend following trade setups.
外匯交易策略安裝說明
Oracle Move Trend Following Forex Trading Strategy is a combination of Metatrader 4 (MT4) 指標(s) 和範本.
此外匯策略的本質是轉換累積的歷史數據和交易信號.
Oracle Move Trend Following Forex Trading Strategy provides an opportunity to detect various peculiarities and patterns in price dynamics which are invisible to the naked eye.
基於此資訊, 交易者可以假設價格進一步變動， 並相應地調整此策略.
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How to install Oracle Move Trend Following Forex Trading Strategy?
- Download Oracle Move Trend Following Forex Trading Strategy.zip
- *將 mq4 和 ex4 檔案複製到您的 Metatrader 目錄 / 專家 / 指標 /
- 複製 tpl 檔案 (範本) 到您的元交易者目錄 / 範本 /
- 啟動或重新啟動 Metatrader 用戶端
- 選擇要測試外匯策略的圖表和時間範圍
- 右鍵單擊您的交易圖表並懸停在 “範本”
- Move right to select Oracle Move Trend Following Forex Trading Strategy
- You will see Oracle Move Trend Following Forex Trading Strategy is available on your Chart
*注意: 並非所有外匯策略都配有 mq4/ex4 檔. 某些範本已與 MetaTrader 平臺的 MT4 指標整合.
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