移動平均預測器外匯交易策略

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Moving Average Forecaster Forex Trading Strategy 1

與其他交易市場相比,外匯市場相當特殊. 大多數交易市場有很大一部分交易參與者是投機者, those who are attempting to profit from the market based on price fluctuations. The forex market however is quite different. Although there are also many speculators trading the forex markets, a big chunk of the transactions is for regular business transactions, which are necessary for international businesses to conduct their day to day operations. When the market is dominated by these transactions, the market tends to chop around without clear direction. 然而, the forex market also has a strong tendency to trend in many occasions. These are caused by big institutional banks changing their opinion on the economy and thus changing their forex trading portfolio. At times they would stock up on the US Dollar, other times they would shift to the Japanese Yen or Euro. And this happens quite often. But how do we identify these moves?

Huge trends caused by big banks are often unpredictable. 然而, traders could jump right in on such trends as it starts. One of the best ways to identify the start of a trend is by using technical indicators. Using technical indicators provide traders an insight as to what is happening in the market. It allows traders to identify whether the market is just chopping around or if it is showing signs of a possible trend taking shape.

顧比複合移動平均線

The Moving Average is one of the most popular technical indicators. It is widely used due to its simplicity and the fact that it simply works as an indicator. It helps traders logically identify trend direction.

Traders often identify trend direction by looking at the location of price in relation to a moving average. Bullish markets are characterized by rising prices, which coincides with price constantly closing above a moving average. Bearish markets on the other hand are characterized by falling prices, in which price is constantly closing below the average. Some traders use the slope of the moving average to judge whether the market is trending or not. Rising trend momentum tend to steepen the curve of a moving average’s slope.

The moving average is a very useful technical trading tool. It is effective and is logically sound. 然而, there are many different moving average parameters that could be used to judge the trend. A bullish trend on short period moving average may be the exact opposite of a long period moving average.

The Guppy Multiple Moving Average is a custom technical indicator composed of a band of moving averages. It has a set of short-term moving average and a long-term moving average. The short-term moving average is composed of 3, 5, 8, 10, 12 and 15-period moving averages. The long-term moving averages are composed of 30, 35, 40, 45, 50 and 60-period moving averages. Having multiple moving averages indicating the same trade direction helps traders identify strong momentum price movements which could lead to long-term trends.

Traders often use the crossing over of the short-term and long-term moving average sets to identify trend reversals. Moving averages that fan out are also indicative of a strong trend.

FX Forecaster

The FX Forecaster is a custom momentum indicator which aids traders in identifying trend direction. It is an oscillating indicator based on the crossover of moving averages, the Oscillator of Moving Averages (第八) 指示符, and the Fisher Transform indicator. 在某種方式, it is a confluence of multiple indicators. Having this much confluence makes this indicator very efficient in identifying trend direction.

The FX Forecaster has two sets of histograms overlapping each other, one representing the short-term trend and the other for the long-term trend. Having the two positive histogram sets indicate a bullish trend while having both histograms on the negative indicate a bearish trend. Crossovers of both histograms above or below zero could indicate a trend reversal.

交易策略

交易這一戰略, traders must look for confluences of trend reversal signals indicated by the Guppy Multiple Moving Average and the FX Forecaster indicator.

During non-trending market conditions, the Guppy Multiple Moving Average are characterized by compressed moving average lines. Price action also tend to chop around too much around the area of the long-term trend. 然而, as the market starts to trend, these lines tend to fan out and price would usually pull away from the long-term trend.

On the FX Forecaster, non-trending markets usually have the histogram bars crisscrossing the midline. These lines also usually have opposing trend direction signals. 然而, if momentum is strong enough and the market does start to trend, the short-term histogram would usually crossover the midline followed by the long-term trend histogram.

What we would be looking for is a confluence of the crossover of the short-term and long-term Guppy Multiple Moving Averages and the crossover of both histograms of the FX Forecaster indicator.

指標:

  • guppy_multiple_moving_averages
  • FXForecaster

大體時間: 1-小時, 4-小時和日線圖

貨幣對: 最好是主要和次要對

交易時段: 東京, 倫敦和紐約的會議

購買貿易體制

條目

  • Both histograms of the FX Forecaster indicator should cross above zero indicating a bullish trend reversal
  • The short-term moving average set of the Guppy Multiple Moving Averages indicator should cross above the long-term moving average set indicating a bullish trend reversal
  • The short-term moving averages should start to fan out
  • 對上述條件匯合輸入買入指令

止損

  • 設置止損在入口蠟燭下方支撐位

出口

  • Close the trade as soon as the FX Forecaster indicator shows a negative histogram

移動平均預測器外匯交易策略 1

移動平均預測器外匯交易策略 2

賣出交易設置

條目

  • Both histograms of the FX Forecaster indicator should cross below zero indicating a bearish trend reversal
  • The short-term moving average set of the Guppy Multiple Moving Averages indicator should cross below the long-term moving average set indicating a bearish trend reversal
  • The short-term moving averages should start to fan out
  • 對上述條件匯合輸入賣單

止損

  • 設置止損在入口蠟燭上方阻力位

出口

  • Close the trade as soon as the FX Forecaster indicator shows a positive histogram

移動平均預測器外匯交易策略 3

移動平均預測器外匯交易策略 4

結論

This strategy is one which is aimed at taking trades at the onset of a new trend. If the trend has enough momentum and has consistency in its trend direction, traders could hold on to a trade up until near the end of the trend. 然而, there will be times when traders are taken out of the trade due to premature reversals of the short-term histograms. Although it is better to stick to the rules in order to protect profits, traders who are more aggressive could judge the trend’s strength based on price action movements and how price behaves as it draws nearer to the long-term moving averages.


外匯交易策略安裝說明

Moving Average Forecaster Forex Trading Strategy is a combination of Metatrader 4 (MT4) 指示符(小號) 和模板.

這種外匯策略的本質是把積累的歷史數據和交易信號.

Moving Average Forecaster Forex Trading Strategy provides an opportunity to detect various peculiarities and patterns in price dynamics which are invisible to the naked eye.

基於該信息, 交易商可以承擔更多的價格變動並相應地調整這一戰略.

推薦外匯MetaTrader的 4 交易平台

  • 自由 $30 要立即開始交易性
  • 存款獎金高達 $5,000
  • 無限忠誠度計劃
  • 獎項殊榮的外匯經紀商

XM開戶指南

點擊這裡一步一步XM交易開戶指南

How to install Moving Average Forecaster Forex Trading Strategy?

  • Download Moving Average Forecaster Forex Trading Strategy.zip
  • *MQ4和EX4文件複製到你的MetaTrader的目錄 / 專家 / 指標 /
  • 複製文件的第三方物流 (模板) 你的MetaTrader的目錄 / 模板 /
  • 啟動或重新啟動客戶端的Metatrader
  • 選擇圖表和時間範圍,你想測試你的外匯策略
  • 右鍵點擊您的交易圖表和懸停 “模板”
  • Move right to select Moving Average Forecaster Forex Trading Strategy
  • You will see Moving Average Forecaster Forex Trading Strategy is available on your Chart

*注意: 並非所有的外匯策略來與MQ4 / EX4文件. 一些模板已經從MetaTrader平台的MT4指標綜合.

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