線性回歸交叉外匯交易策略

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Linear Regression Cross Forex Trading Strategy

趨勢逆轉是高收益的交易設置,與每筆交易的風險相比,它可以產生無限的收益. Traders could find themselves in a trade that is a successful trend reversal and see their profits grow several times more than the risk on their stop loss. This is because trend reversal setups are usually open ended. Trend reversal traders often close the trade only when the trend is about to end.

One of the most popular ways traders identify potential trend reversals is with the use of a moving average crossover. Moving crossover signals are basically trend reversal signals generated whenever a faster moving average crosses a slower moving average. This occurs whenever the direction of price action trend is reversing. The faster moving average line responds faster to changes in the direction of average price movements. This dynamic causes the two moving average lines to cross over.

Moving average crossovers can be very effective in anticipating trend reversals. 然而, it is not that accurate. This is not because moving average crossovers are not effective. 而, it is because anticipating that price action would reverse is very difficult as momentum is often on the side of the prior trend. 然而, traders still make money trading trend reversals because of the sheer size of the yields compared to the risk.

在此策略中, we would be looking at a simple crossover strategy which finds confluences with a complementary oscillating technical indicator.

線性回歸斜率

The Linear Regression Slope (LRM) is an oscillating technical indicator which is used to help traders predict future price trajectory based on historical price values. It was developed from a quantitative perspective of identifying future price movements based on historical price data. This method which is an effective statistical method in predicting future data is similarly effective when applied in trading.

The Linear Regression Slope oscillator plots a line that oscillates freely around its midline zero. The line it plots is characteristically very smooth. This helps traders avoid too many false signals in a choppy market environment.

Trend direction using the Linear Regressions Slope is based on the location of its line in relation to its midline, 零. The trend bias is considered bullish if the Linear Regression Slope line is above zero, and bearish if it is below zero.

所以, trend reversal signals are identified based on the crossing over of the Linear Regression Slope line over its midline. Crosses above zero indicate a bullish trend reversal, while crosses below zero indicate a bearish trend reversal.

MA Alert

MA Alert is a custom trend following technical indicator which also acts as a trend reversal signal indicator.

This indicator is based on a modified moving average line. Its underlying moving average line can be modified based on several parameters, such as the type of moving average line, number of periods, shift to the left or right of the current period and the source of the price applied to the computation. This makes the underlying moving average line used by this indicator very adaptive to the type of trading strategy or trade setup that a trader is aiming for.

As a signal indicator, this indicator also objectively identifies trend reversals. It then sends an alert signal on the MT4 platform to inform the trader that the forex pair it is applied on might be reversing its trend.

交易策略

Linear Regression Cross Forex Trading Strategy is a simple trend reversal crossover strategy which makes use of the MA Alert moving average line. It also produces trade setups based on a confluence of trend reversal signals coming from a moving average crossover and the Linear Regression Slope oscillator.

The crossover strategy is based on a 14-period MA Alert line and a 28-period Simple Moving Average (Sma). Trend reversal signals are generated as the MA Alert line crosses over the 28 SMA線.

The trend reversal should also be confirmed based on a confluence of another trend reversal signal coming from the Linear Regression Slope line. This is simply based on the crossing over of the LRM line over its median, 零.

指標:

  • MA_ALERT
    • MA期: 14
  • 移動平均線
    • 時期: 28
    • MA方法: 簡單
  • LinearRegSlope_v1

首選時間範圍: 30-分鐘, 1-小時, 4-小時和每日圖表

貨幣對: 外匯專業, 未成年人和十字架

交易時段: 東京, 倫敦和紐約會議

購買交易設置

進入

  • MA Alert line should cross above the 28 SMA線.
  • The Linear Regression Slope line should cross above zero.
  • Enter a buy order on the confluence of the trend reversal signals above.

止損

  • 在入場蠟燭下方的支撐上設置止損.

退出

  • Close the trade as soon as the MA Alert line crosses below the 28 SMA線.
  • Close the trade as soon as the Linear Regression Slope line crosses below zero.

線性回歸交叉外匯交易策略

線性回歸交叉外匯交易策略 2

銷售交易設置

進入

  • MA Alert line should cross below the 28 SMA線.
  • The Linear Regression Slope line should cross below zero.
  • Enter a sell order on the confluence of the trend reversal signals below.

止損

  • 在入場蠟燭上方的阻力上設置止損.

退出

  • Close the trade as soon as the MA Alert line crosses above the 28 SMA線.
  • Close the trade as soon as the Linear Regression Slope line crosses above zero.

線性回歸交叉外匯交易策略 3

線性回歸交叉外匯交易策略 4

結論

This simple trend reversal trading strategy can produce good trend reversal setups when used in the right type of market condition or forex pair.

Although this trend reversal strategy may not be as accurate as other trend-based strategies, it does have the capacity to produce high yielding trade setups. This is the factor that can help traders consistently become profitable over the long run.

然而, strings of failed crossovers may cause some losses. It is wise to keep position sizing and money management in check when trading trend reversals.


外匯交易策略安裝說明

Linear Regression Cross Forex Trading Strategy is a combination of Metatrader 4 (MT4) 指標(s) 和範本.

此外匯策略的本質是轉換累積的歷史數據和交易信號.

Linear Regression Cross Forex Trading Strategy provides an opportunity to detect various peculiarities and patterns in price dynamics which are invisible to the naked eye.

基於此資訊, 交易者可以假設價格進一步變動, 並相應地調整此策略.

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口袋選項

How to install Linear Regression Cross Forex Trading Strategy?

  • Download Linear Regression Cross Forex Trading Strategy.zip
  • *將 mq4 和 ex4 檔案複製到您的 Metatrader 目錄 / 專家 / 指標 /
  • 複製 tpl 檔案 (範本) 到您的元交易者目錄 / 範本 /
  • 啟動或重新啟動 Metatrader 用戶端
  • 選擇要測試外匯策略的圖表和時間範圍
  • 右鍵單擊您的交易圖表並懸停在 “範本”
  • Move right to select Linear Regression Cross Forex Trading Strategy
  • You will see Linear Regression Cross Forex Trading Strategy is available on your Chart

*注意: 並非所有外匯策略都配有 mq4/ex4 檔. 某些範本已與 MetaTrader 平臺的 MT4 指標整合.

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