One of the reasons why many new traders find it very difficult to profit from the forex market is because they do not trade in the direction of the trend. במקרים מסוימים, it is a matter of having a strategy that is not fit for trading with the trend. On many occasions, it is because of the fear of taking the trade at the end of a trend.
While it is true that traders should avoid chasing the trend, trading in the direction of the trend also implies that you would have to trade in the middle of the trend rather than at the beginning of the trend. בטוח, the yields might not be as high as if the trade was taken at the beginning of the trend. בטוח, there is a risk that the trend might soon reverse. אולם, trading with the trend could also mean trading with a higher probability of winning.
מצד שני, anticipating trend reversals also do present huge risks. Although it is true that trades would have higher yields because the trade is taken at the beginning of the trend, catching trend reversals as price reverses could also be very difficult.
העבר אורקל
Oracle Move or 100 Pips Momentum is a custom trend following technical indicator which is based on a short-term moving average.
Most moving average lines tend to have two weaknesses. הראשון, most moving average lines tend to be lagging compared to price action. Lagging indicator signals often cause traders to enter a good trade setup and exit a winning trade a bit too late. This often drastically reduces the potential profits which the trader could have earned or worse, turn a potentially winning trade into a loss. The second weakness is that many moving averages tend to be susceptible to false signals that occur during whipsaws and choppy market conditions. This causes traders to enter a trade which they should have not traded in the first place.
Oracle Move is an indicator that plots two short-term moving average lines which drastically minimizes both weaknesses. The lines that this indicator plots are very responsive to price action movements making it suitable for short-term momentum shifts, and at the same time are very smooth making it handle choppy market conditions better.
The faster moving average line is plotted as a blue line, while the slower moving average line is plotted as a red line. Trend direction is then identified based on how the two moving average lines overlap. The trend is bullish if the blue line is above the red line and bearish if the blue line is below the red line. Crossovers between the two lines can also be indicative of a potential trend reversal.
מדד העוצמה היחסית
מדד העוצמה היחסית (RSI) is a classic oscillator type of technical indicator which has a variety of uses. It can be used to identify trend, מומנטום ותנאי מחיר של קניית יתר או מכירת יתר.
The RSI is an oscillator that plots a line that oscillates between the range of 0 אל 100. This line is computed based on the closing price of a recent trading period compared to its historical price movements. The resulting line is a line that somewhat mimics the movements of price action based on its swing points.
The RSI has markers at 30 ו- 70. These markers indicate overbought or oversold price conditions. קו RSI מעל 70 מעיד על שוק קניית יתר, בעוד ששורת RSI מתחת 30 מציין מצב של עודף. הפוך, momentum traders identify strong breaches beyond these levels as an indication of a strong momentum which could lead to a trend.
Some traders add markers at level 45, 50 ו- 55. רָמָה 50 marks the trend bias. An RSI line generally staying above 50 and finding support at 45 is indicative of a bullish trend. מצד שני, an RSI line generally staying below 50 and finding resistance at 55 is indicative of a bearish trend.
אסטרטגיית מסחר
Oracle Move Trend Following Forex Trading Strategy is a trend following strategy which finds agreements between the long-term trend and the short-term trend using the Oracle Move indicator, the 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA (EMA)), and the RSI.
The long-term trend is identified based on the slope of the 100 קו EMA, the location of price action in relation to the 100 קו EMA, as well as the trend direction of price action.
The RSI line then confirms the trend based on where it is generally located in relation to the 50 marker and whether it is finding support at level 45 or resistance at level 55.
Price would generally retrace to its median. This should cause the Oracle Move line to temporarily reverse and the RSI line to temporarily retrace to the area near 50, while still finding support or resistance at level 45 או 55.
As price resumes its trend, the Oracle Move line would crossover and the RSI line would break above 55 or drop below 45 indicting the resumption of the trend. This confluence would be our trade setup.
מחוונים:
- 100פיפס מומנטום
- 100 EMA (EMA)
- מדד העוצמה היחסית
מסגרות זמן מועדפות: 30-תרשימים של דקה ושעה
זוגות מטבעות: מגדלי FX, קטינים וצלבים
הפעלות מסחר: טוקיו, מפגשים בלונדון וניו יורק
קנה כיוונון מסחרי
ערך
- פעולת מחיר צריכה להיות מעל ל- 100 קו EMA.
- Price action should be trending up based on its price swings.
- ה 100 קו EMA צריך להשתדרג למעלה.
- קו RSI צריך להיות בדרך כלל מעל 50.
- Price should retrace causing the blue Oracle Move line to temporarily cross below the red line and the RSI line to retrace towards 50 while finding support at 45.
- The blue Oracle Move line should cross above the red line.
- The RSI line should breach above 55.
- הזן הזמנת רכש באישור תנאים אלה.
עצור אובדן
- הגדר את האובדן להפסיק את התמיכה מתחת נר הכניסה.
יציאה
- סגור את המסחר ברגע שהקו הכחול של מחוון Oracle Move חוצה מתחת לקו האדום.
מכירת כיוונון מסחרי
ערך
- פעולת המחיר צריכה להיות מתחת לסך 100 קו EMA.
- Price action should be trending down based on its price swings.
- ה 100 קו EMA צריך להשתדרג כלפי מטה.
- קו RSI צריך להיות בדרך כלל מתחת 50.
- Price should retrace causing the blue Oracle Move line to temporarily cross above the red line and the RSI line to retrace towards 50 while finding resistance at 55.
- The blue Oracle Move line should cross below the red line.
- The RSI line should drop below 45.
- הזן הזמנת מכירה לאישור תנאים אלה.
עצור אובדן
- הגדר את עצירת הפסד על ההתנגדות מעל נר הכניסה.
יציאה
- סגור את המסחר ברגע שהקו הכחול של מחוון Oracle Move חוצה מעל הקו האדום.
מסקנה
This trading strategy is a basic trend following or trend re-entry strategy which makes use of the responsive short-term signals of the Oracle Move indicator.
The Oracle Move indicator in itself is not perfect yet it provides high probability trend reversal signals which has the potential to result in a trend.
The combination of the 100 EMA line and the trend indication of the RSI line simply confirms the direction of the general trend, which in turn should leave us with high probability trend following trade setups.
הוראות התקנה של אסטרטגיות מסחר במט"ח
Oracle Move Trend Following Forex Trading Strategy is a combination of Metatrader 4 (MT4) מחוון(ס) ותבנית.
המהות של אסטרטגיית מט"ח זו היא לשנות את נתוני ההיסטוריה המצטברים ואת אותות המסחר.
Oracle Move Trend Following Forex Trading Strategy provides an opportunity to detect various peculiarities and patterns in price dynamics which are invisible to the naked eye.
בהתבסס על מידע זה, סוחרים יכולים להניח תנועת מחירים נוספת ולהתאים אסטרטגיה זו בהתאם.
מטא-טריידר מט"ח מומלץ 4 פלטפורמת מסחר
- חינם $50 כדי להתחיל לסחור באופן מיידי! (רווח ניתן לסגירה)
- בונוס הפקדה עד $5,000
- תוכנית נאמנות ללא הגבלה
- ברוקר מט"ח עטור פרסים
- בונוסים בלעדיים נוספים לאורך כל השנה
לחץ כאן לקבלת מדריך לפתיחת חשבון ברוקר XM שלב אחר שלב
How to install Oracle Move Trend Following Forex Trading Strategy?
- Download Oracle Move Trend Following Forex Trading Strategy.zip
- *העתקת קבצי mq4 ו- ex4 לספריה Metatrader / מומחים / מחוונים /
- העתק קובץ tpl (תבנית) לספריה 'מטא-תדר' / תבניות /
- הפעלה או הפעלה מחדש של לקוח המטה-תדר
- בחר תרשים ומסגרת זמן שבהם ברצונך לבדוק את אסטרטגיית המט"ח שלך
- לחץ באמצעות לחצן העכבר הימני על תרשים המסחר שלך ורחף מעל “תבנית”
- Move right to select Oracle Move Trend Following Forex Trading Strategy
- You will see Oracle Move Trend Following Forex Trading Strategy is available on your Chart
*הערה: לא כל אסטרטגיות המט"ח מגיעות עם קבצי mq4/ex4. תבניות מסוימות כבר משולבות עם מחווני MT4 מפלטפורמת MetaTrader.
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