אסטרטגיות מט"ח

אסטרטגיית מסחר במט"ח עליונה FX

על-ידי

ספטמבר 29, 2020

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המסחר מתנהל במגמות. זה על כיוון מגמה, הסטת מגמות ותזמון השינויים בכיוון המגמה. Yet these trends are defined in many ways. It is defined by its strength, the timeframe that you are looking at, whether these are short-term or long-term trends, and defined by different indicators in a variety of mathematical formulas. These multitude of combinations yields different probabilities and results, which brings confusion to many traders.

אז, how do you find your way with this labyrinth called trading? The key is to find indicators which complement and a system that produces either high yielding trades or a high probability trades, או שילוב של שניהם.

The Fx Supreme Forex Trading Strategy is one which measures trend direction and trend shifts using three complimentary indicators, all of which work well together.

סחורות ערוץ אינדקס

מדד ערוץ הסחורות (CCI (מדעי)) was first introduced by Donald Lambert back in 1980. It is an oscillating indicator based on the concept of Typical Price, which basically means the average of the high, low and close of price. The formula also takes into consideration the Simple Moving Average (Sma) and Mean Absolute Deviation (MD).

The CCI assumes that price would stay within +/-100 at about 70 אל 80 percent of the time. Traders could then interpret price based on this information.

Mean Reversion traders would interpret the CCI being beyond the +/-100 as being a point where price may reverse. While this is true, price would usually revert to its mean when a trend is overextended, it could also mean the exact opposite.

Momentum traders would interpret the crossing over beyond +/-100 as a sign of strength or momentum. Since price is usually kept within the +/-100 טווח 70 אל 80 percent of the time, it may mean that price is strong enough to push CCI beyond this range.

אז, how do we go about this conundrum? Some traders extend the Mean Reversion markers at +/-200. This would somehow filter out less probable mean reversal points.

If using the CCI as a momentum gauge, it would also be good to combine it with other indicators that could show trend reversal or direction.

The 50-Period Moving Average

The 50-period moving average is a widely used indicator. למעשה, most professional institutional traders who trade for the big banks, and market analysts use the 50-period moving average as a basis for the mid-term trend. Some traders would even only take trades that agree with the trend direction of the 50-period moving average.

אז, how do you identify trend based on the moving average. Some would use the slope direction of the moving average to determine trend direction, whether it is sloping up or down. A rather simpler method would be by identifying the location of price in relation to the moving average. אם המחיר הוא מעל זה, אז השוק נחשב שורי, while if located below the moving average, then it is considered bearish.

מסנן העליון רווח במט"ח

The Forex Profit Supreme Filter is a custom trend following indicator. This custom indicator is binary in nature. It tells traders plainly whether the market is bullish or bearish. It does this by printing bars on its own window.

For the purpose of this strategy, the indicator is set to print lime green bars when it detects a bullish market condition and orange red bars when it detects a bearish market condition

אסטרטגיית מסחר

This strategy is a trend following momentum strategy based on the confluence of the above-mentioned indicators.

מדד ערוץ הסחורות (CCI (מדעי)) indicator is traded as a momentum indicator. We will be interpreting the crossing over beyond the +/-100 range as a sign of trend strength and momentum. ככזה, we will be trading in the direction of the breakout.

ולאחר מכן, אנו נשתמש בממוצע הנע פשוט של 50 תקופה (Sma) as our basis for crossovers of price action. Entries will be based on the crossing over and breakout of price beyond the 50 Sma.

לבסוף, we will be filtering out low probability trends by using the Forex Profit Supreme Filter indicator. We will only be taking trades that conform with the direction indicated by the Forex Profit Supreme Filter.

מחוונים:

50 Sma (ירוק)
CCI (מדעי)
- תקופת: 28
מסנן מט"ח

מסגרת זמן: 1-שעה, 4-תרשימי שעה ויום

זוגות מטבעות: זוגות ראשיים ומשניים

מפגש מסחר: טוקיו, לונדון וניו יורק

קנה כיוונון מסחרי

ערך

The Forex Profit Supreme Filter should be printing a lime green bar indicating a bullish market condition
The CCI line should be crossing above +100 indicating a possible start of a bullish trend based on momentum
המחיר צריך לחצות ולסגור מעל 50 SMA indicating a change in trend direction

עצור אובדן

מניחים את אובדן העצירה ברמת התמיכה מתחת לנר הכניסה

יציאה

Close the trade as soon as the CCI line crosses below +50 indicating the possible end of a strong bullish trend
Close the trade as soon as the Forex Profit Supreme Filter changes to orange red

מכירת כיוונון מסחרי

ערך

The Forex Profit Supreme Filter should be printing an orange red bar indicating a bearish market condition
The CCI line should be crossing below -100 indicating a possible start of a bearish trend based on momentum
המחיר צריך לחצות ולסגור מתחת 50 SMA indicating a change in trend direction

עצור אובדן

מניחים את אובדן העצירה ברמת ההתנגדות מעל נר הכניסה

יציאה

Close the trade as soon as the CCI line crosses above -50 indicating the possible end of a strong bearish trend
Close the trade as soon as the Forex Profit Supreme Filter changes to lime green

מסקנה

The Fx Supreme Forex Trading Strategy is a good trend following indicator. This is because it considers trend direction and the momentum that caused the direction change in the first place.

This trading strategy would usually result to a decent combination of a good win ratio and positively yielding reward-risk ratios.

Some knowledge with regards to momentum candles, price action and reversal patterns would be very much useful with this strategy.

הוראות התקנה של אסטרטגיות מסחר במט"ח

FX Supreme Forex Trading Strategy is a combination of Metatrader 4 (MT4) מחוון(ס) ותבנית.

המהות של אסטרטגיית מט"ח זו היא לשנות את נתוני ההיסטוריה המצטברים ואת אותות המסחר.

FX Supreme Forex Trading Strategy provides an opportunity to detect various peculiarities and patterns in price dynamics which are invisible to the naked eye.

בהתבסס על מידע זה, סוחרים יכולים להניח תנועת מחירים נוספת ולהתאים אסטרטגיה זו בהתאם.